Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 864 | 78% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 918 | 1011 | 37% | 2020-09-28 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2019-10-22 | Won |
| 1083 | 1139 | 42% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-08-19 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2003-08-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1104 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1012.7 vs 1024.7 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).