Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 861 | 74% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 937 | 1010 | 40% | 2020-09-28 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1001 | 56% | 2019-10-22 | Won |
| 1083 | 1116 | 45% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-08-19 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2003-08-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1005 vs 1023.6 has a 47.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).