On the Road to Andalsnes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Norwegian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 984 | 46% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2022-08-18 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1010 | 56% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1018 | 983 | 55% | 2014-01-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1094 | 51% | 2012-04-07 | Lost |
| 920 | 984 | 41% | 2008-05-10 | Lost |
| 997 | 958 | 56% | 2007-07-01 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1208 | 31% | 1999-09-24 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1007.6 vs 1038.8 has a 45.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).