Savoia!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (7 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 949 | 1051 | 36% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
| 1201 | 986 | 78% | 2019-05-10 | Won |
| 986 | 1084 | 36% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2009-10-11 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1144 | 49% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1074.4 vs 1053.6 has a 53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).