Swamp Cats
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (22 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 77
Defender wins (German): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1028 | 69% | 2024-05-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1211 | 23% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2024-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 940 | 64% | 2023-12-18 | | Won |
| 990 | 692 | 85% | 2022-10-24 | | Won |
| 907 | 1134 | 21% | 2018-09-21 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2013-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 921 | 73% | 2011-10-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2011-08-20 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1163 | 46% | 2011-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2009-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2005-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1329 | 1068 | 82% | 2004-10-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2004-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2004-05-30 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1068 | 58% | 2003-10-05 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1011 | 65% | 2003-01-01 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1005 | 69% | 2002-11-02 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2002-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 984 | 70% | 2000-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2000-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1999-05-03 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1112.6 vs 1025.7 has a 62.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).