Swamp Cats
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1018 | 67% | 2024-05-09 | Won |
| 918 | 1183 | 18% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1009 | 999 | 51% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1080 | 872 | 77% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 979 | 810 | 73% | 2022-10-24 | Won |
| 892 | 1213 | 14% | 2018-09-21 | Won |
| 1143 | 1090 | 58% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 1097 | 921 | 73% | 2011-10-16 | Won |
| 1142 | 964 | 74% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1136 | 1173 | 45% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1228 | 32% | 2009-02-04 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1012 | 80% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1187 | 1169 | 53% | 2004-09-04 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1012 | 62% | 2003-10-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1000 | 65% | 2003-01-01 | Won |
| 1208 | 983 | 79% | 2000-10-14 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1103.1 vs 1039.8 has a 59.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).