ASL Scenario Archive

L'Abbaye Blanche

Games with no balance used/recorded: 40

Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20

Defender wins (American): 20

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
933	1055	33%	2023-07-09	Lost
1055	933	67%	2023-07-02	Won
1195	958	80%	2022-01-20	Won
1009	959	57%	2021-09-21	Lost
966	1136	27%	2021-03-12	Won
1004	1002	50%	2020-12-20	Lost
1025	1056	46%	2020-05-13	Lost
966	1219	19%	2020-03-23	Lost
1157	853	85%	2019-05-02	Won
1309	1096	77%	2017-10-31	Lost
958	1195	20%	2017-10-10	Lost
1004	1002	50%	2017-01-10	Won
1266	1003	82%	2016-06-25	Won
873	1213	12%	2016-05-30	Won
1089	956	68%	2016-02-22	Won
1039	1026	52%	2016-02-10	Won
1039	966	60%	2014-10-03	Won
1009	1223	23%	2013-06-27	Won
958	1195	20%	2013-06-21	Won
951	1098	30%	2012-11-21	Lost
885	993	35%	2012-10-01	Won
963	898	59%	2012-01-20	Lost
1063	1228	28%	2011-06-24	Won
978	1046	40%	2011-06-24	Lost
1034	1009	54%	2011-06-24	Lost
1154	1228	40%	2011-05-27	Lost
1228	1010	78%	2009-03-01	Won
1055	1029	54%	2008-05-01	Lost
945	1099	29%	2005-12-11	Lost
1012	1064	43%	2004-10-01	Won
947	929	53%	2004-08-28	Lost
1183	945	80%	2004-05-07	Won
1002	1004	50%	2003-08-31	Lost
1110	1043	60%	2001-12-15	Won
848	1010	28%	2000-12-28	Lost
1169	978	75%	1998-12-20	Lost
1098	1096	50%	1998-04-01	Won
1098	890	77%	1998-01-21	Won
1150	1050	64%	1997-03-08	Lost

Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1043.4 has a 50.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).