Lambs Led to Slaughter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (18 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 49
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1076 | 47% | 2026-02-20 | Won |
| 1015 | 872 | 69% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1172 | 37% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2019-07-31 | Lost |
| 1023 | 933 | 63% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2018-12-20 | Lost |
| 993 | 1129 | 31% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1211 | 1179 | 55% | 2017-07-05 | Won |
| 1226 | 880 | 88% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1160 | 48% | 2010-12-10 | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2010-11-10 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2008-08-23 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1070 | 70% | 2007-03-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 1070 | 50% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2006-01-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1156 | 36% | 2005-05-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2004-06-01 | Won |
| 1021 | 1092 | 40% | 2003-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1092.3 vs 1042.1 has a 57.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).