Tussle at Thomashof
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (11 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 854 | 1089 | 21% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1021 | 65% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1057 | 1156 | 36% | 2004-04-09 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2003-10-01 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2003-02-27 | Lost |
| 901 | 1060 | 29% | 1999-02-07 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1263 | 31% | 1998-04-24 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1263 | 34% | 1998-03-27 | Lost |
| 911 | 1057 | 30% | 1993-04-30 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1111.9 has a 36.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).