Bewildered and Belligerent
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (8 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (British): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2019-02-17 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2013-08-30 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-08-28 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2008-08-22 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1150 | 52% | 2003-07-16 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2003-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2003-04-26 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2003-02-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1086.4 vs 1036.4 has a 57.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).