To the Matter Born
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (8 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 3
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1074 | 41% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1089 | 66% | 2020-06-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2019-11-26 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2018-02-24 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2013-02-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1030 | 66% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1121 | 61% | 2003-07-14 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1101.4 vs 1085.6 has a 52.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).