To the Matter Born
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (8 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 4
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1108 | 37% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1094 | 65% | 2020-06-03 | Won |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2019-11-26 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2018-02-24 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2013-02-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1031 | 65% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1158 | 56% | 2003-07-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1089.6 vs 1094.8 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).