To the Matter Born
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (8 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 4
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2020-06-03 | | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2019-11-26 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2018-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2013-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1022 | 66% | 2004-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2003-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1093.5 has a 43.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).