Tasimboko Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (6 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2024-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1030 | 60% | 2019-08-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2018-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2013-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1021 | 77% | 2007-01-31 | | Won |
| 1160 | 1097 | 59% | 2003-08-25 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1056.7 vs 1033.2 has a 53.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).