First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1169 | 28% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 905 | 914 | 49% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1151 | 42% | 2024-01-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 941 | 965 | 47% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
| 994 | 1126 | 32% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1077 | 57% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-11-14 | Won |
| 1158 | 925 | 79% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-10-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-12-04 | Won |
| 1074 | 1106 | 45% | 2002-11-21 | Won |
| 1145 | 1126 | 53% | 2002-03-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1056.5 has a 50.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).