First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 9
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1111 | 39% | 2024-12-06 | Won |
| 1033 | 1161 | 32% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 886 | 913 | 46% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1110 | 43% | 2024-01-08 | Lost |
| 989 | 959 | 54% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 873 | 810 | 59% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
| 1052 | 1200 | 30% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-07-28 | Won |
| 1200 | 1054 | 70% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-11-14 | Won |
| 1158 | 925 | 79% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 935 | 949 | 48% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2012-10-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-12-04 | Won |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2002-11-21 | Won |
| 1160 | 1200 | 44% | 2002-03-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.7 vs 1048 has a 51.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).