First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 9
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1186 | 23% | 2025-12-15 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1111 | 37% | 2024-12-06 | Won |
| 1015 | 1200 | 26% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 894 | 913 | 47% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1103 | 43% | 2024-01-08 | Lost |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 889 | 1017 | 32% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
| 1047 | 1186 | 31% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1202 | 33% | 2020-07-28 | Won |
| 1186 | 1057 | 68% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2018-11-14 | Won |
| 1158 | 925 | 79% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 935 | 968 | 45% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-10-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-12-04 | Won |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2002-11-21 | Won |
| 1164 | 1186 | 47% | 2002-03-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1086.1 has a 46.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).