Didn't Have to Be There
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (17 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 841 | 71% | 2026-02-28 | | Won |
| 864 | 1000 | 31% | 2025-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-06-23 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2016-02-21 | | Won |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2015-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2015-11-16 | | Won |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2015-11-14 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1233 | 11% | 2014-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 841 | 79% | 2013-06-06 | | Won |
| 1071 | 841 | 79% | 2013-06-06 | | Won |
| 841 | 1071 | 21% | 2013-03-17 | | Won |
| 841 | 1071 | 21% | 2013-03-17 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1149 | 52% | 2003-04-19 | | Won |
| 1026 | 1149 | 33% | 2001-11-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2000-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 995.4 vs 1022.5 has a 46.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).