Ryan's Orphans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1107 | 40% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1048 | 46% | 2016-03-07 | Lost |
| 870 | 1228 | 11% | 2014-08-25 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2011-11-21 | Won |
| 1068 | 1133 | 41% | 2004-02-15 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1202 | 39% | 2002-09-08 | Lost |
| 1148 | 974 | 73% | 2001-09-15 | Lost |
| 942 | 1075 | 32% | 2000-09-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1059 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1019.6 vs 1089.7 has a 40.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).