Coup de Main
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1024 | 47% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2023-07-25 | Lost |
| 1053 | 750 | 85% | 2023-03-13 | Won |
| 964 | 1036 | 40% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2021-04-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 1225 | 19% | 2019-12-18 | Lost |
| 862 | 862 | 50% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
| 968 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-06-07 | Won |
| 1062 | 1020 | 56% | 2017-12-24 | Lost |
| 987 | 909 | 61% | 2017-09-12 | Won |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
| 1001 | 1046 | 44% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1054 | 1010 | 56% | 2014-09-05 | Won |
| 1054 | 1010 | 56% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
| 973 | 1289 | 14% | 2013-06-26 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1033 | 51% | 2010-07-26 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1151 | 56% | 2010-04-30 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1151 | 56% | 2010-04-30 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1151 | 56% | 2010-04-04 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1066 | 54% | 2004-04-25 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2002-07-07 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1151 | 55% | 1997-10-01 | Won |
| 1187 | 1151 | 55% | 1997-06-14 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1061 has a 48.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).