Coup de Main
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1002 | 57% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2023-07-25 | Lost |
| 1039 | 755 | 84% | 2023-03-13 | Won |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 988 | 964 | 53% | 2021-04-21 | Lost |
| 755 | 947 | 25% | 2020-08-23 | Lost |
| 987 | 1159 | 27% | 2019-12-18 | Lost |
| 862 | 862 | 50% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
| 967 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-06-07 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | 2017-12-24 | Lost |
| 988 | 964 | 53% | 2017-09-12 | Won |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 1017 | 56% | 2017-02-16 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1077 | 39% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 968 | 62% | 2014-09-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 968 | 62% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
| 975 | 1017 | 44% | 2013-06-26 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1033 | 51% | 2010-07-26 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1141 | 58% | 2010-04-30 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1141 | 58% | 2010-04-30 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1141 | 58% | 2010-04-04 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1108 | 56% | 2007-03-19 | Won |
| 1096 | 1067 | 54% | 2004-04-25 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2002-11-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2002-07-07 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1141 | 57% | 1997-10-01 | Won |
| 1190 | 1141 | 57% | 1997-06-14 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1047.2 has a 50.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).