Howard's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (21 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (British): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1025 | 70% | 2025-04-12 | Lost |
| 878 | 832 | 57% | 2024-09-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
| 1131 | 1133 | 50% | 2019-08-06 | Won |
| 920 | 967 | 43% | 2019-04-18 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1060 | 44% | 2015-10-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
| 1056 | 1055 | 50% | 2014-02-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1055 | 50% | 2014-02-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
| 885 | 870 | 52% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1133 | 50% | 2009-05-01 | Won |
| 1135 | 1133 | 50% | 2009-04-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 998 | 64% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
| 997 | 998 | 50% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
| 1263 | 1219 | 56% | 1999-12-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 957 | 58% | 1999-10-30 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
| 1153 | 1003 | 70% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1053.2 vs 1037 has a 52.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).