Ham and Bloody Jam
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 897 | 893 | 51% | 2024-07-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 952 | 55% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 865 | 983 | 34% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1118 | 60% | 2022-11-24 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1016 | 50% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1192 | 1118 | 60% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1017 | 1016 | 50% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 941 | 965 | 47% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
| 812 | 1046 | 21% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1190 | 27% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
| 1137 | 1198 | 41% | 2019-06-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 968 | 63% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 905 | 975 | 40% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
| 972 | 949 | 53% | 2011-11-04 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1040 | 50% | 2010-05-31 | Lost |
| 851 | 1018 | 28% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1055 | 55% | 2008-01-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 1098 | 46% | 2004-03-17 | Won |
| 1124 | 1081 | 56% | 2000-10-10 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1005.4 vs 1038.4 has a 45.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).