Carnage in the Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1094 | 50% | 2025-03-25 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1025 | 48% | 2021-10-16 | Won |
| 1105 | 1100 | 51% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1117 | 1132 | 48% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2003-01-13 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-23 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.3 vs 1090.9 has a 42.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).