Probing the Villas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (American / Partisan): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American / Partisan): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-05-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-05-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2019-06-28 | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2017-08-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1057 | 41% | 2002-12-30 | Lost |
| 1018 | 890 | 68% | 1997-12-17 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1006.4 vs 1005.1 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).