Probing the Villas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (American / Partisan): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 4
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American / Partisan): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1058 | 48% | 2023-05-05 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1016 | 73% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1048 | 65% | 2019-06-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1100 | 36% | 2002-12-30 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1997-12-17 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1096.3 vs 1033.3 has a 58.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).