Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1028 | 55% | 2024-12-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 980 | 57% | 2024-12-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1201 | 914 | 84% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 1222 | 1068 | 71% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 1084 | 37% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 903 | 1097 | 25% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-09-27 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 612 | 1098 | 6% | 2003-11-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 1121 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1121 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1140 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.6 vs 1066.1 has a 46.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).