Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1006 | 58% | 2024-12-29 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-12-20 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 1202 | 1066 | 69% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1025 | 51% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-09-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2003-11-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1067.9 has a 45.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).