One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (18 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Russian): 55
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 864 | 74% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1091 | 1217 | 33% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1064 | 47% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1031 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1010 | 1108 | 36% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2016-03-29 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1203 | 54% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 1114 | 1051 | 59% | 2013-11-18 | Lost |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
| 1100 | 916 | 74% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1001 | 79% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1313 | 996 | 86% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1008 | 1095 | 38% | 2005-07-14 | Lost |
| 969 | 1039 | 40% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2003-02-04 | Won |
| 613 | 1100 | 6% | 2003-01-12 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1002 | 60% | 2002-05-08 | Lost |
| 1036 | 893 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1019.6 has a 56.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).