One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (20 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 55
Defender wins (Russian): 56
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1257 | 743 | 95% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 1070 | 864 | 77% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1090 | 1189 | 36% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1063 | 1019 | 56% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1108 | 33% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2016-03-29 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1204 | 53% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 1115 | 1051 | 59% | 2013-11-18 | Lost |
| 1070 | 693 | 90% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
| 1100 | 916 | 74% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1333 | 996 | 87% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1009 | 1095 | 38% | 2005-07-14 | Lost |
| 969 | 1063 | 37% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2003-02-04 | Won |
| 613 | 1100 | 6% | 2003-01-12 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1002 | 60% | 2002-05-08 | Lost |
| 1028 | 893 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1071.7 vs 1008 has a 59.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).