One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (17 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 55
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 861 | 74% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1090 | 1241 | 30% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1031 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 950 | 1108 | 29% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2016-03-29 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1202 | 54% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 1090 | 1051 | 56% | 2013-11-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 697 | 92% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 916 | 74% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1003 | 79% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1310 | 977 | 87% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1097 | 38% | 2005-07-14 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2003-02-04 | Won |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2003-01-12 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1002 | 60% | 2002-05-08 | Lost |
| 1041 | 893 | 70% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1019 has a 56.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).