The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 753 | 1225 | 6% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1208 | 1079 | 68% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1213 | 37% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1118 | 63% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1157 | 969 | 75% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 1008 | 1002 | 51% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1162 | 49% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 840 | 1088 | 19% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1213 | 960 | 81% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 993 | 71% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 1039 | 976 | 59% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1147 | 53% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1000 | 65% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1047.5 has a 52.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).