The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 769 | 1250 | 6% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1126 | 1075 | 57% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1116 | 49% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1111 | 51% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 969 | 73% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1162 | 47% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 841 | 1023 | 26% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1116 | 961 | 71% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1162 | 39% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
| 1139 | 954 | 74% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
| 1018 | 978 | 56% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1148 | 44% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
| 1018 | 978 | 56% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 940 | 56% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1049.2 vs 1031.3 has a 52.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).