The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
749 | 1252 | 5% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
1202 | 1113 | 63% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
1193 | 1116 | 61% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
1116 | 1193 | 39% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
1151 | 969 | 74% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
1151 | 858 | 84% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
1151 | 1165 | 48% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
840 | 1099 | 18% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
1193 | 960 | 79% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
1087 | 1094 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
1149 | 998 | 70% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
1060 | 977 | 62% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
948 | 1082 | 32% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
1105 | 1150 | 44% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
948 | 1082 | 32% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
984 | 1002 | 47% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
1079 | 1000 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.3 vs 1054.5 has a 50.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).