Counterattack on the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (30 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1127 | 49% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 967 | 1063 | 37% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1175 | 34% | 2020-10-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 1226 | 21% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
| 931 | 950 | 47% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 1001 | 1173 | 27% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
| 1057 | 949 | 65% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 949 | 65% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1097 | 914 | 74% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 970 | 1026 | 42% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1163 | 1116 | 57% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1058 | 840 | 78% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 1058 | 959 | 64% | 2017-06-27 | Won |
| 979 | 879 | 64% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
| 996 | 1036 | 44% | 2016-06-18 | Lost |
| 941 | 1117 | 27% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1158 | 35% | 2015-01-06 | Lost |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2014-07-07 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1158 | 35% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 1038 | 963 | 61% | 2012-08-20 | Lost |
| 1091 | 959 | 68% | 2011-06-17 | Won |
| 1041 | 1083 | 44% | 2009-04-07 | Lost |
| 945 | 1117 | 27% | 2007-04-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1423 | 8% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1423 | 9% | 2006-07-16 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1097 | 61% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1018 | 966 | 57% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1047.2 vs 1065.4 has a 47.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).