Counterattack on the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (30 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 1101 | 53% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1175 | 31% | 2020-10-07 | Lost |
| 971 | 1223 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
| 931 | 950 | 47% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 970 | 896 | 60% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1165 | 1151 | 52% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1099 | 840 | 82% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 1209 | 43% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 1193 | 960 | 79% | 2017-06-27 | Won |
| 1004 | 877 | 68% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
| 870 | 1057 | 25% | 2016-06-18 | Lost |
| 877 | 1060 | 26% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
| 993 | 1158 | 28% | 2015-01-06 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1209 | 43% | 2014-07-07 | Lost |
| 993 | 1158 | 28% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 1048 | 963 | 62% | 2012-08-20 | Lost |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2011-06-17 | Won |
| 1133 | 1083 | 57% | 2009-04-07 | Lost |
| 945 | 1117 | 27% | 2007-04-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1413 | 8% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
| 977 | 1413 | 8% | 2006-07-16 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1100 | 51% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1079 | 966 | 66% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1083.5 has a 42.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).