Debacle at Korosten
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (8 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 803 | 88% | 2026-06-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1197 | 24% | 2026-01-03 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-06-22 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1273 | 40% | 2021-10-21 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2021-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1097 | 53% | 2018-06-23 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-06-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2014-12-09 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1048.6 has a 53.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).