Debacle at Korosten
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 1165 | 50% | 2026-01-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 973 | 58% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1176 | 1207 | 46% | 2021-10-21 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 964 | 1076 | 34% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1102 | 958 | 70% | 2017-06-07 | Won |
| 854 | 889 | 45% | 2014-12-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1044.9 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).