Debacle at Korosten
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1042 | 48% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1137 | 1254 | 34% | 2021-10-21 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1167 | 958 | 77% | 2017-06-07 | Won |
| 854 | 879 | 46% | 2014-12-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1020 has a 53.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).