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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 991 | 1053 | 41% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 823 | 992 | 27% | 2015-06-30 | Lost |
| 1201 | 975 | 79% | 2006-08-30 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 999.8 vs 1009.5 has a 48.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).