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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 692 | 1110 | 8% | 2025-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2024-11-03 | D | Won |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2021-07-26 | | Lost |
| 909 | 925 | 48% | 2015-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2006-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1040 | 63% | 2006-08-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 953.2 vs 1040 has a 37.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).