A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (17 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (British): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 990 | 72% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
| 1192 | 1118 | 60% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1017 | 73% | 2022-03-30 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1031 | 63% | 2021-04-26 | Won |
| 952 | 986 | 45% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 1016 | 955 | 59% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1016 | 975 | 56% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1139 | 812 | 87% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1091 | 39% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1074 | 44% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1179 | 28% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1055 | 48% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1083 vs 1016.4 has a 59.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).