Stand Fast the Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (British): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 959 | 51% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 1005 | 976 | 54% | 2024-12-12 | Won |
| 1016 | 1218 | 24% | 2024-10-02 | Won |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 965 | 1136 | 27% | 2022-02-08 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1242 | 20% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1002 | 1041 | 44% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 1005 | 946 | 58% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1200 | 53% | 2018-12-25 | Won |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2018-12-24 | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2011-02-17 | Won |
| 1025 | 1036 | 48% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 985 | 50% | 1994-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1070.3 has a 44.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).