Stand Fast the Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (British): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 959 | 56% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 1092 | 994 | 64% | 2024-12-12 | Won |
| 996 | 1218 | 22% | 2024-10-02 | Won |
| 941 | 1054 | 34% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 964 | 1136 | 27% | 2022-02-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1264 | 17% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 1092 | 944 | 70% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1202 | 53% | 2018-12-25 | Won |
| 1220 | 1164 | 58% | 2018-12-24 | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2011-02-17 | Won |
| 1025 | 1057 | 45% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 1019 | 984 | 55% | 1994-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1048.8 vs 1077.8 has a 45.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).