Stand Fast the Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (British): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 978 | 53% | 2024-10-02 | Won |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 964 | 1184 | 22% | 2022-02-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1259 | 18% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 999 | 955 | 56% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1126 | 62% | 2018-12-25 | Won |
| 1214 | 1173 | 56% | 2018-12-24 | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2011-02-17 | Won |
| 1026 | 1069 | 44% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 940 | 983 | 44% | 1994-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1066 has a 46.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).