Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (12 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Belgian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 861 | 74% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1241 | 831 | 91% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 943 | 1141 | 24% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1038 | 46% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1011 | 54% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 1090 | 31% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 906 | 1020 | 34% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 929 | 1043 | 34% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1199 | 58% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
| 1003 | 1131 | 32% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1048.9 has a 48.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).