Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (12 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Belgian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 864 | 74% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1217 | 829 | 90% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1038 | 47% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1014 | 53% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 949 | 1114 | 28% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 909 | 1020 | 35% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 977 | 1043 | 41% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1193 | 50% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
| 1007 | 1090 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1035.7 has a 50.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).