Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (12 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Belgian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 854 | 77% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1204 | 827 | 90% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 948 | 936 | 52% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
| 980 | 1038 | 42% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1014 | 52% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 969 | 1114 | 30% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 950 | 1018 | 40% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1123 | 68% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
| 1184 | 1037 | 70% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
| 1007 | 1118 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.7 vs 1028.3 has a 52.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).