Fighting Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (16 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 37
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1092 | 30% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1108 | 966 | 69% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1170 | 1016 | 71% | 2020-08-09 | Tied |
| 890 | 1220 | 13% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1202 | 985 | 78% | 2015-06-28 | Won |
| 998 | 976 | 53% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1096 | 68% | 2014-02-25 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1092 | 40% | 2014-02-12 | Won |
| 995 | 1011 | 48% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1148 | 40% | 2009-09-26 | Won |
| 1092 | 1133 | 44% | 2002-02-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1032 | 54% | 2000-09-01 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1090 | 50% | 1999-11-01 | Lost |
| 1202 | 947 | 81% | 1995-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1081.1 vs 1056.4 has a 53.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).