Fighting Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (16 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 37
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1103 | 913 | 75% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1137 | 1027 | 65% | 2020-08-09 | Tied |
| 892 | 1217 | 13% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1186 | 986 | 76% | 2015-06-28 | Won |
| 879 | 977 | 36% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1100 | 68% | 2014-02-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 973 | 51% | 2014-02-12 | Won |
| 995 | 1011 | 48% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1151 | 38% | 2009-09-26 | Won |
| 1092 | 1109 | 48% | 2002-02-03 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1032 | 46% | 2000-09-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1082 | 50% | 1999-11-01 | Lost |
| 1186 | 947 | 80% | 1995-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1031.4 has a 54.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).