Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (19 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 42
Defender wins (American): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2023-03-26 | A | Lost |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2020-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1183 | 26% | 2020-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 961 | 64% | 2020-03-06 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-03-04 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2018-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2018-04-20 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1214 | 24% | 2017-12-22 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2017-05-17 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1000 | 45% | 2017-03-05 | | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2015-08-30 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2010-02-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2009-11-07 | | Tied |
| 907 | 1009 | 36% | 2005-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2004-01-04 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1080 | 28% | 2001-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2001-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 1994-06-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1031.1 vs 1040.2 has a 48.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).