Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (19 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 42
Defender wins (American): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1035 | 47% | 2023-03-26 | A | Lost |
| 1022 | 1018 | 51% | 2020-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2020-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1043 | 961 | 62% | 2020-03-06 | | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-03-04 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2018-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2018-04-20 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2017-12-22 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 947 | 58% | 2017-05-17 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1000 | 44% | 2017-03-05 | | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2015-08-30 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2010-02-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2009-11-07 | | Tied |
| 907 | 1009 | 36% | 2005-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2004-01-04 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1088 | 27% | 2001-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2001-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 1994-06-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1037.8 has a 48.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).