Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (18 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 41
Defender wins (American): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 978 | 56% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 965 | 68% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1124 | 1074 | 57% | 2020-03-06 | Lost |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 956 | 923 | 55% | 2018-04-20 | Won |
| 1021 | 1151 | 32% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 999 | 955 | 56% | 2017-05-17 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1093 | 50% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 995 | 79% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1095 | 1037 | 58% | 2009-11-07 | Tied |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2005-12-16 | Won |
| 931 | 1009 | 39% | 2005-09-18 | Lost |
| 933 | 1069 | 31% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1055 | 53% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1126 | 910 | 78% | 1994-06-22 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1028.7 has a 54.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).