Sea of Tranquility
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (11 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 1051 | 25% | 2024-07-18 | Lost |
| 1051 | 864 | 75% | 2024-05-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 938 | 69% | 2023-03-13 | Lost |
| 1002 | 997 | 51% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1019 | 986 | 55% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1023 | 56% | 2019-05-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 898 | 80% | 2016-12-07 | Won |
| 1121 | 1093 | 54% | 2015-09-06 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1085 | 47% | 2011-05-07 | Won |
| 1105 | 1129 | 47% | 2006-09-07 | Tied |
| 1202 | 1148 | 58% | 2001-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064 vs 1019.3 has a 56.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).