The Eastern Gate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (12 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 52
Defender wins (Gurkha): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1194 | 1074 | 67% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 952 | 64% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 1072 | 1216 | 30% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1120 | 48% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1120 | 48% | 2011-12-20 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1180 | 48% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1015 | 1106 | 37% | 2010-08-24 | Won |
| 1068 | 1219 | 30% | 2006-12-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 1053 | 52% | 2006-12-11 | Won |
| 919 | 1184 | 18% | 1993-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1075.5 vs 1109.1 has a 45.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).