Shoestring Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (16 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-12-22 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1037 | 53% | 2015-02-21 | Lost |
| 844 | 1067 | 22% | 2014-12-12 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1102 | 54% | 2014-10-28 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1106 | 47% | 2013-09-14 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1120 | 48% | 2011-06-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
| 1014 | 1185 | 27% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2006-11-09 | Won |
| 830 | 1139 | 14% | 2003-07-11 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1159 | 47% | 2002-05-20 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1139 | 41% | 2000-01-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 1999-07-02 | Won |
| 1104 | 1000 | 65% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1082.4 has a 44.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).