On the Kokoda Trail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (18 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 89
Defender wins (Australian): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 1018 | 44% | 2022-01-25 | Won |
| 972 | 1298 | 13% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-10-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 1021 | 1250 | 21% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1030 | 1151 | 33% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 999 | 955 | 56% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
| 1060 | 998 | 59% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
| 1120 | 1094 | 54% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2010-01-25 | Won |
| 1150 | 978 | 73% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1047 | 50% | 2004-07-10 | Won |
| 1110 | 1126 | 48% | 1995-01-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 940 | 56% | 1993-03-28 | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1062 vs 1072.9 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).