On the Kokoda Trail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (19 on the archive and 119 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 89
Defender wins (Australian): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2022-01-25 | Won |
| 973 | 1312 | 12% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-10-02 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 1016 | 1252 | 20% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1029 | 1108 | 39% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1004 | 944 | 59% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 1004 | 52% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
| 1121 | 1093 | 54% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2010-01-25 | Won |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1133 | 38% | 2004-07-10 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 1998-06-30 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1202 | 37% | 1995-01-28 | Lost |
| 984 | 1002 | 47% | 1993-03-28 | Won |
| 1079 | 1000 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1078.7 has a 47.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).