Smertniki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (14 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 1050 | 27% | 2022-11-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1002 | 56% | 2019-09-23 | Won |
| 1029 | 1035 | 49% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1034 | 1110 | 39% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 963 | 925 | 55% | 2011-07-02 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2010-11-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 985 | 1177 | 25% | 2006-10-26 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2001-07-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1200 | 21% | 2000-02-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 1998-03-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1026.2 vs 1066.5 has a 44.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).