Smertniki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (15 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 1032 | 29% | 2022-11-21 | Won |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2019-09-23 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 963 | 1040 | 39% | 2011-07-02 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1107 | 52% | 2010-11-16 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2006-10-26 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1051 | 52% | 2006-10-19 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2001-07-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1198 | 21% | 2000-02-12 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 1998-03-01 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023.7 vs 1082.5 has a 41.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).