Smertniki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (15 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (Japanese): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 1050 | 27% | 2022-11-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2019-09-23 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 963 | 925 | 55% | 2011-07-02 | Tied |
| 1122 | 1109 | 52% | 2010-11-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1226 | 25% | 2006-10-26 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1013 | 54% | 2006-10-19 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2001-07-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1186 | 23% | 2000-02-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 1998-03-01 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 1085 has a 43.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).