Smertniki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (15 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (Japanese): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 1050 | 27% | 2022-11-21 | Won |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2019-09-23 | Won |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 963 | 925 | 55% | 2011-07-02 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2010-11-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1185 | 27% | 2006-10-26 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2006-10-19 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2001-07-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1139 | 28% | 2000-02-12 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 1998-03-01 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1035.2 vs 1068.6 has a 45.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).