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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (11 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 878 | 1167 | 16% | 2020-03-16 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2019-10-22 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2015-10-20 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-08-22 | Lost |
| 858 | 879 | 47% | 2015-02-09 | Won |
| 1109 | 1149 | 44% | 2014-06-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
| 1186 | 1035 | 70% | 2000-06-10 | Won |
| 981 | 1174 | 25% | 1996-04-09 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1102 | 37% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1079.3 has a 42.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).