The Taking of Takrouna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 160 (22 on the archive and 138 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 64
Defender wins (Italian): 96
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 948 | 52% | 2022-03-05 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-02-15 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1104 | 49% | 2020-04-11 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-09-16 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1095 | 30% | 2018-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 926 | 64% | 2016-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-07-14 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2015-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2013-12-01 | | Won |
| 921 | 1007 | 38% | 2013-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2013-01-01 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2010-05-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 915 | 62% | 2008-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2006-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2006-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2003-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1999-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 1999-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 1998-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1994-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 1991-08-02 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1025.7 vs 1017.1 has a 51.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).