The Taking of Takrouna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 159 (21 on the archive and 138 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 64
Defender wins (Italian): 95
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 948 | 50% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 922 | 1083 | 28% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 948 | 979 | 46% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 1007 | 927 | 61% | 2016-11-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1143 | 65% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 942 | 72% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 895 | 1007 | 34% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 1092 | 43% | 2010-05-01 | Won |
| 979 | 918 | 59% | 2008-08-27 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1036 | 64% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1069 | 974 | 63% | 2003-02-07 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1070 | 50% | 1999-06-14 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1068 | 50% | 1999-05-31 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1034 | 72% | 1998-05-10 | Lost |
| 1068 | 984 | 62% | 1994-04-25 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 1991-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1035.1 vs 1020 has a 52.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).