The Taking of Takrouna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 156 (18 on the archive and 138 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 64
Defender wins (Italian): 92
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 947 | 47% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 971 | 927 | 56% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 986 | 1019 | 45% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 944 | 1092 | 30% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 927 | 63% | 2016-11-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1108 | 39% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1144 | 73% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 1093 | 944 | 70% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1007 | 49% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1057 | 43% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 1092 | 43% | 2010-05-01 | Won |
| 1092 | 920 | 73% | 2008-08-27 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1029 | 63% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1056 | 52% | 2003-02-07 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1033 | 73% | 1998-05-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 1991-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1050.1 vs 1019.1 has a 54.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).