The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Norwegian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 937 | 60% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 952 | 55% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1016 | 994 | 53% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 955 | 973 | 47% | 2017-01-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1094 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | Won |
| 1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1016 | 45% | 2010-05-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 955 | 59% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1129 | 1120 | 51% | 2005-04-02 | Won |
| 1063 | 1124 | 41% | 1998-08-30 | Won |
| 986 | 983 | 50% | 1991-03-08 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1035.6 vs 1032.4 has a 50.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).