The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (16 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Norwegian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2025-03-21 | | Won |
| 1172 | 1000 | 73% | 2024-12-24 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1040 | 34% | 2021-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1097 | 52% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 994 | 52% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 979 | 63% | 2018-03-11 | | Lost |
| 924 | 961 | 45% | 2017-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-03-30 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2010-11-06 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2010-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2006-01-18 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2005-04-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 1998-08-30 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 1991-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1009.6 has a 56.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).