The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (16 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Norwegian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2025-03-21 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-12-24 | | Lost |
| 926 | 1107 | 26% | 2021-04-27 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1093 | 31% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 994 | 62% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1006 | 54% | 2018-03-11 | | Lost |
| 972 | 961 | 52% | 2017-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-03-30 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2010-11-06 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2010-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2006-01-18 | | Won |
| 1109 | 1000 | 65% | 2005-04-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1076 | 39% | 1998-08-30 | | Won |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 1991-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1009.3 has a 53.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).