Sylvan Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (18 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 73
Defender wins (Partisan): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 964 | 48% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 987 | 901 | 62% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
| 1089 | 956 | 68% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1004 | 1093 | 37% | 2017-01-24 | Won |
| 1008 | 960 | 57% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 907 | 901 | 51% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 1011 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
| 1039 | 951 | 62% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 958 | 973 | 48% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1111 | 42% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1026 | 1012 | 52% | 2011-04-12 | Won |
| 918 | 976 | 42% | 2010-02-08 | Won |
| 1047 | 1097 | 43% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1018 | 49% | 2008-08-06 | Won |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1999-06-19 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1208 | 36% | 1994-10-22 | Won |
| 1105 | 847 | 82% | | Lost |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1022.2 vs 1024.2 has a 49.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).