The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 20
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 983 | 34% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 952 | 996 | 44% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 812 | 894 | 38% | 2022-01-11 | Won |
| 1143 | 1169 | 46% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1055 | 945 | 65% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1142 | 1009 | 68% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
| 975 | 999 | 47% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 923 | 1012 | 37% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
| 879 | 812 | 60% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 1074 | 44% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 961 | 998 | 45% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1035 | 982 | 58% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
| 933 | 982 | 43% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1116 | 58% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 944 | 70% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 972 | 949 | 53% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
| 989 | 982 | 51% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 977 | 931 | 57% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
| 958 | 998 | 44% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1047 | 1039 | 51% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 1106 | 979 | 68% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 1074 | 1028 | 57% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
| 1126 | 881 | 80% | 1993-03-26 | Won |
| 983 | 940 | 56% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1068 | 50% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1016.4 vs 995.6 has a 52.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).