The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 20
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 1051 | 25% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1025 | 52% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 952 | 996 | 44% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 788 | 890 | 36% | 2022-01-11 | Won |
| 1143 | 1167 | 47% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1166 | 35% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 1009 | 69% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
| 973 | 1092 | 34% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 896 | 987 | 37% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
| 845 | 788 | 58% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 1074 | 49% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 960 | 986 | 46% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1029 | 1060 | 46% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
| 931 | 1060 | 32% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1193 | 47% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
| 1093 | 944 | 70% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 974 | 949 | 54% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
| 989 | 1060 | 40% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
| 959 | 986 | 46% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1133 | 1041 | 63% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 1105 | 979 | 67% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 1089 | 1038 | 57% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
| 1202 | 881 | 86% | 1993-03-26 | Won |
| 984 | 1019 | 45% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1068 | 48% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1079 | 1000 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1022.1 vs 1021.5 has a 50.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).