Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1126 | 858 | 82% | 2023-11-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1144 | 1100 | 56% | 2023-03-30 | Won |
| 1169 | 1127 | 56% | 2022-08-15 | Lost |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1032 | 916 | 66% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1009 | 979 | 54% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
| 1126 | 931 | 75% | 2019-12-20 | Won |
| 1112 | 923 | 75% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 1026 | 1259 | 21% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
| 983 | 940 | 56% | 2016-01-08 | Won |
| 999 | 1053 | 42% | 2015-02-19 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1162 | 39% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1116 | 57% | 2013-09-19 | Won |
| 941 | 907 | 55% | 2013-01-31 | Won |
| 951 | 889 | 59% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 951 | 863 | 62% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1040 | 1025 | 52% | 2012-03-15 | Won |
| 931 | 977 | 43% | 2011-12-29 | Won |
| 998 | 996 | 50% | 2010-06-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 989 | 49% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1247 | 997 | 81% | 2009-06-06 | Won |
| 919 | 999 | 39% | 2008-09-16 | Lost |
| 999 | 955 | 56% | 2007-04-10 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-05 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2004-06-16 | Won |
| 1069 | 1068 | 50% | 2001-10-01 | Won |
| 979 | 1106 | 32% | 2001-03-11 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1126 | 48% | 1994-08-01 | Won |
| 983 | 940 | 56% | 1992-02-05 | Won |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1036.7 vs 1010.9 has a 53.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).