Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1007 | 46% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1248 | 831 | 92% | 2023-11-27 | Won |
| 1043 | 1001 | 56% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1144 | 1110 | 55% | 2023-03-30 | Won |
| 1159 | 1127 | 55% | 2022-08-15 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 991 | 916 | 61% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1009 | 979 | 54% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
| 1248 | 938 | 86% | 2019-12-20 | Won |
| 1117 | 903 | 77% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 996 | 1132 | 31% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1001 | 56% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 1026 | 1264 | 20% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2016-01-08 | Won |
| 996 | 1010 | 48% | 2015-02-19 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1219 | 42% | 2013-09-19 | Won |
| 898 | 907 | 49% | 2013-01-31 | Won |
| 951 | 889 | 59% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 951 | 861 | 63% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1039 | 1073 | 45% | 2012-03-15 | Won |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2011-12-29 | Won |
| 996 | 996 | 50% | 2010-06-05 | Lost |
| 1058 | 989 | 60% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1248 | 997 | 81% | 2009-06-06 | Won |
| 920 | 996 | 39% | 2008-09-16 | Lost |
| 996 | 943 | 58% | 2007-04-10 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-05 | Lost |
| 1181 | 996 | 74% | 2004-06-16 | Won |
| 1015 | 1069 | 42% | 2001-10-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1152 | 27% | 2001-03-11 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1998-08-14 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1248 | 31% | 1994-08-01 | Won |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 1992-02-05 | Won |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 1020.8 has a 52.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).